Full Disclosure mailing list archives

Re: Free Iraq


From: "Garrett M. Groff" <groffg () gmgdesign com>
Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2008 12:59:42 -0400

A thoughtful reply was posed to my address rather than the list. I'll keep 
the sender anonymous & post my reply since others have posed similar 
concerns:


Excellent point. Initially, a "puppet regime" would be in place to run the 
country on a day to day basis. Actually, I'm more concerned about the 
pertinent country's 1) access to the global economy as well as 2) security. 
Point 2 is obvious enough, so I'll focus on point 1.

Simply stated, countries that have or are moving in the direction of broad 
economic integration with the rest of the world (i.e., that are or are 
becoming more "globalized," to use the vogue term) tend to be more moderate 
in their ideologies, better (or getting better) in their governance and 
governmental transparency, and more economically productive. On that last 
point, I'll take keeping people busy with jobs over the prospect of millions 
of "idle hands."

Economics binds people together, even if they're of disparate cultures and 
beliefs, and gives them a means of constructive, non-violent engagement with 
each other. It leads to idea-sharing that would otherwise be difficult and 
discouraged. It leads to distribution of power away from the central 
government, as people compete constructively in the private sector rather 
than just politically in the halls of power. Oh, and it also increases 
aggregate prosperity in the region, and by extension, across the globe.

Globalization is the answer to Salafist (Sunni extremist)-borne terrorism in 
the long run (or any terrorist ideological movement), as alternate view 
points dilute local/regional extremism and, pragmatically, give people other 
things to do. The same effect occurs in rogue regimes, assuming we (or 
someone) is able to "persuade" the heads of state in those regimes to allow 
exterior connectivity.

The strategic vision that I'm suggesting is that we use our global power 
projection as the initial phase in taking out stubborn regimes. That's a 
small part of the picture, but still a necessary piece.

- G


----- Original Message ----- 
From: [REMOVED]
To: "Garrett M. Groff" <groffg () gmgdesign com>
Sent: Thursday, March 27, 2008 10:38 AM
Subject: Re: [Full-disclosure] Free Iraq


Only problem is that the "re-building" usually involves the
installation of a dictator who supports American policies at the
expense of that nation's people's rights.

--
[NAME REMOVED]

On 3/27/08, Garrett M. Groff <groffg () gmgdesign com> wrote:
Excellent points, with exception to the gratuitious name-calling (just 
b/c
 there are annoying people on this list who throw out invective doesn't 
mean
 we should submit to our temptation to do the same vile practice back to
 them).

 I'll add the following (despite the fact that it's grossly off-topic!). 
The
 Iraq war was more than just a follow-up to a UN resolution or two. It 
was a
 desire by neo-conservatives to re-make the Middle East. That desire is
 partly strategic and partly political. Strategic: eliminate the threat 
of
 WMD proliferation (including to Salafist groups like Al Qaeda) by 
scaring
 rogue-ish countries into thinking "they're next" if they don't behave
 (think, Libya). The strategic plan was to go beyond Iraq and is often
 referred to as a "domino effect" whereby other mid-east nations 
liberalize
 their political systems and economies. Political: free up huge oil 
fields in
 Mesopotamia, bringing down global oil prices. Also, empower Republicans,
 making them appear more responsive & pro-active in a post-911 world to
 threats posed by rogue nations & global terrorist groups.

 My focus is strategic, since the political side-effects are less 
important
 and less justifiable than the strategic argument.

 Result...
 Unforutnately, the nation-rebuilding effort is not going well (compared 
to
 the actual "war" which went well by historic standards, lasting only 
about 4
 weeks; everything since has involved dealing with the war's aftermath). 
I
 can think of specific things that would have made the nation re-building
 campaign much more likely to succeed. Rather than a lengthy explanation 
on
 that, I'll say this. Think about what would have happened if the Bush
 administration weren't so inept and if Iraq had been a successful model 
of
 nation re-building. That model could be replicated to other 
nation-states
 that are arguably and egregiously bad, be it countries with a) too much
 government (dictatorships) or b) too little government (many African 
states,
 which are tribal & lack sufficient central governance).

 A "nation re-making" process that falls under UN legitimacy would be
 powerful, shifting the American focus from maintaining the "superpower
 status quo" to "making the world better." Sounds controversial (like 
some
 imperial colonial fantasy), but try living in the DPRK, Cuba, or Sudan, 
and
 tell me those nations aren't screwed up and wouldn't go for a "nation
 re-making" make-over, provided that it actually worked.

 The US (and others) will certainly engage in nation re-building again. 
If
 you don't believe that, then check out recent US history. It's really 
just a
 question of when, where, and to what extent. Next time, I hope the war's
 aftermath goes substantially better and involves broad international
 legitimacy, not to mention significant involvement in the post-war phase
 (where the US actually needs allies).


 - G



 ----- Original Message -----
 From: <Throwaway1 () columbus rr com>

To: <full-disclosure () lists grok org uk>

Sent: Wednesday, March 26, 2008 8:22 PM
 Subject: Re: [Full-disclosure] Free Iraq

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