MD5 math question

["Jeff Robertson" <jeff.robertson () digitalinsight com>]

Assume that a password between 1 and 24 ASCII characters was stored as
an MD5 hash. No salt. What is the probability that someone cracking the
password will find not the password that the user originally chose, but
a different password that happens to collide with it? Intuitively it
seems so unlikely that you wouldn't ever expect to see it. But what is
the probability really?

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