nanog mailing list archives

Re: Alternative Re: ipv4/25s and above Re: 202211232221.AYC


From: Douglas Fischer <fischerdouglas () gmail com>
Date: Thu, 24 Nov 2022 08:51:28 -0300

Hello Abraham!

I believe your e-mail client (MUA) is splitting every message on a new
thread.
I'm not sure if it is happening with everyone, but using Gmail as MUA, it
isn't aggregating the mails on the same thread.

Cloud you please check the confs of your tool to avoid it?

Thanks in advance.

Em qui., 24 de nov. de 2022 às 05:56, Abraham Y. Chen <aychen () avinta com>
escreveu:

Dear Joe:

0) Allow me to share my understanding of the two topics that you brought
up.

1) "... https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html, it looks
like we’ve gone from ~0% to ~40% in 12 years.... ":  Your numbers may be
deceiving.

   A. The IPv6 was introduced in 1995-12, launched on 2012-06-06 and
ratified on 2017-07-14. So, the IPv6 efforts have been quite a few years
more than your impression. That is, the IPv6 has been around over
quarter of a century.

   B. If you read closely, the statement  "The graph shows the
percentage of users that access Google over IPv6." above the graph
actually means "equipment readiness". That is, how many Google users
have IPv6 capable devices. This is similar as the APNIC statistics whose
title makes this clearer. However, having the capability does not mean
the owners are actually using it. Also, this is not general data, but
within the Google environment. Since Google is one of the stronger
promoters of the IPv6, this graph would be at best the cap of such data.

   C. The more meaningful data would be the global IPv6 traffic
statistics. Interestingly, they do not exist upon our extensive search.
(If you know of any, I would appreciate to receive a lead to such.) The
closest that we could find is % of IPv6 in AMS-IX traffic statistics
(see URL below). It is currently at about 5-6% and has been tapering off
to a growth of less than 0.1% per month recently, after a ramp-up period
in the past. (Similar saturation behavior can also be found in the above
Google graph.)

https://stats.ams-ix.net/sflow/ether_type.html

   D.  One interesting parameter behind the last one is that as an
Inter-eXchange operator, AMS-IX should see very similar percentage
traffic mix between IPv6 and IPv4. The low numbers from AMS-IX does not
support this viewpoint for matching with your observation. In addition,
traffic through IX is the overflow among backbone routers. A couple
years ago, there was a report that peering arrangements among backbone
routers for IPv6 were much less matured then IPv4, which meant that
AMS-IX should be getting more IPv6 traffic than the mix in the Internet
core. Interpreted in reverse, % of IPv6 in overall Internet traffic
should be less than what AMS-IX handles.

   E. This is a quite convoluted topic that we only scratched the
surface. They should not occupy the attention of colleagues on this
list. However, I am willing to provide more information to you off-line,
if you care for further discussion.

2)  "... https://lore.kernel.org/lkml/20080108011057.GA21168 () cisco com/
...":  My basic training was in communication equipment hardware design.
I knew little about software beyond what I needed for my primary
assignment. Your example, however, reminds me of a programing course
that I took utilizing APL (A Programming Language) for circuit analysis,
optimization and synthesis. It was such a cryptic symbolic language that
classmates (mostly majored in EE hardware) were murmuring to express
their displeasure. One day we got a homework assignment to do something
relatively simple. Everyone struggled to write the code to do the job.
Although most of us did get working codes, they were pages long. The
shortest one was one full page. Upon reviewed all homework, the
professor smiled at us and told us to look for the solution section at
the end of the text book. It turned out to be the answer for a problem
in the next chapter to be covered. The code was only three lines long!
Although it did not have the codes for debugging purposes, it covered
all error messages expected. It was such a shocker that everyone quieted
down to focus on the subject for the rest of the semester. During my
first employment, we had the need to optimize circuit designs. Since I
was the only staff who knew about it, I ended up being the coordinator
between several hardware designers and the supporting programmer. From
that teaching, I am always looking for the most concise solution to an
issue, not being distracted or discouraged by the manifestation on the
surface.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/APL_(programming_language)

3) Fast forward half a century, I am hoping that my "one-line code"
serves the purpose of "there exists" an example in proofing a
mathematical theorem for  inspiring software colleagues to review the
network codes in front of them for improvement, instead of presenting
such as a valid hurdle to progress.


Regards,


Abe (2022-11-24 03:53 EST)





On 2022-11-21 19:30, Joe Maimon wrote:


David Conrad wrote:
Barry,

On Nov 21, 2022, at 3:01 PM, bzs () theworld com wrote:
We've been trying to get people to adopt IPv6 widely for 30 years
with very limited success

According to https://www.google.com/intl/en/ipv6/statistics.html, it
looks like we’ve gone from ~0% to ~40% in 12 years.
https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6 has it around 30%. Given an
Internet population of about 5B, this can (simplistically and
wrongly) argued to mean 1.5-2B people are using IPv6. For a
transition to a technology that the vast majority of people who pay
the bills will neither notice nor care about, and for which the
business case typically needs projection way past the normal
quarterly focus of shareholders, that seems pretty successful to me.

But back to the latest proposal to rearrange deck chairs on the IPv4
Titanic, the fundamental and obvious flaw is the assertion of
"commenting out one line code”. There isn’t “one line of code”. There
are literally _billions_ of instances of “one line of code”, the vast
majority of which need to be changed/deployed/tested with absolutely
no business case to do so that isn’t better met with deploying
IPv6+IPv4aaS. I believe this has been pointed out numerous times, but
it falls on deaf ears, so the discussion gets a bit tedious.

Regards,
-drc

Had the titanic stayed afloat some hours more, many more would have
survived and been rescued when assistance eventually arrived. So that
makes this a debate over whether this is deck chair re-arrangement or
something more meaningful.

As I and others have pointed out, it depends on how it is used. And
perhaps the attempt should be made regardless of knowing in advance
which it will be.

You assertion needs some back of the envelope numbers, which once
provided, I suspect will render your estimate grossly incorrect.

You can hardly attempt to convince anybody that 240/4 as unicast would
not be the more trivial change made in any of these products natural
life cycle points.

Especially as we have examples of what that type of effort might look
like. IGTFY and here

https://lore.kernel.org/lkml/20080108011057.GA21168 () cisco com/

The burdensome position is ridiculous even more so when stated with a
straight face.

Joe





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-- 
Douglas Fernando Fischer
Engº de Controle e Automação

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