nanog mailing list archives
Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM
From: Leo Bicknell <bicknell () ufp org>
Date: Tue, 23 Apr 2013 15:04:23 -0700
In a message written on Tue, Apr 23, 2013 at 05:41:40PM -0400, Valdis Kletnieks wrote:
I didn't see any mention of this Tony Hain paper: http://tndh.net/~tony/ietf/ARIN-runout-projection.pdf tl;dr: ARIN predicted to run out of IP space to allocate in August this year.
Here's a Geoff Houston report from 2005: https://www.arin.net/participate/meetings/reports/ARIN_XVI/PDF/wednesday/huston_ipv4_roundtable.pdf I point to page 8, and the prediction "RIR Pool Exhaustion, 4 June 2013". Those of us who paid attention are well prepared. tl;dr: Real statistical models properly executed in 2005 were remarkably close to the reality 8 years later. -- Leo Bicknell - bicknell () ufp org - CCIE 3440 PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/
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Current thread:
- "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Valdis Kletnieks (Apr 23)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Leo Bicknell (Apr 23)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM staticsafe (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Todd Underwood (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM staticsafe (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Andrew Latham (Apr 23)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Mikael Abrahamsson (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Tore Anderson (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Mikael Abrahamsson (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Tore Anderson (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Andrew Latham (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Lee Howard (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Andrew Latham (Apr 24)
- Re: "It's the end of the world as we know it" -- REM Leo Bicknell (Apr 23)