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Re: estimation of number of DFZ IPv4 routes at peak in the future


From: Jared Mauch <jared () puck nether net>
Date: Tue, 8 Mar 2011 23:10:42 -0500


On Mar 8, 2011, at 10:17 PM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote:

My guess therefore is a peak around 450-500k IPv4 DFZ routes and that this would happen in around 3-5 years. I wanted 
to record this for posterity.

What is your guess, any why?

I think it'll end up around the same range, mostly due to hardware with built-in route limits.  Some providers will be 
stuck with this for ~5-7 years due to equipment lifecycle depreciation.

- jared

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