nanog mailing list archives

RE: What does 95th %tile mean?


From: "David Schwartz" <davids () webmaster com>
Date: Sat, 21 Apr 2001 17:49:05 -0700



    If Burger King couldn't bill an average of 3% of their
customers due to
billing error, they'd raise their prices 3%. The net amount
paid by their
customers would still be the same and their total revenue would
still be the
same. They'd still be just as competitive. They'd just be billing based
upon, you guessed it, statistical sampling.

Even if I lose 3% of all flows that does not mean that I also lose 3% of
valuable data. It depends on which flows have been thrown away.
In the worst
case you may lose nearly 100%, in the best case you almost lose
nothing. It
would be interesting which algorithm is been chosen for throwing
away flows.

        Logic would dictate that during the heaviest traffic, when the router is
working the hardest, it's more likely to lose flows. But that's just what
you'd expect, not necessarily what actually happens.

Furthermore: you will never bill byte by byte. That means a
customer has to
pay x $ per Gig. If he used 2.1 Gig he has to pay for 3 Gig, if
he used 2.9 Gig
he also pays for 3 Gig.

        In other words, a customer that uses 2.99 gig pays less than a customer
that uses 3.00 gigs. So that 3% loss could make a big difference. Yes, it
will make a difference less often, but when it does, it will be a bigger
difference. In fact, I would expect that a 3% loss will, on average, result
in 3% less revenue from overusage.

        Again, the billing is based upon statistical sampling. Really.

        DS



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