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The Doomsday Clock is now just 2 minutes to 'midnight,' the symbolic hour of the apocalypse


From: "Dave Farber" <farber () gmail com>
Date: Thu, 25 Jan 2018 18:37:02 -0500




Begin forwarded message:

From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com>
Date: January 25, 2018 at 5:14:46 PM EST
To: Multiple recipients of Dewayne-Net <dewayne-net () warpspeed com>
Subject: [Dewayne-Net] The Doomsday Clock is now just 2 minutes to 'midnight,' the symbolic hour of the apocalypse
Reply-To: dewayne-net () warpspeed com

The Doomsday Clock is now just 2 minutes to ‘midnight,’ the symbolic hour of the apocalypse
By Lindsey Bever, Sarah Kaplan and Abby Ohlheiser
Jan 25 2018
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/speaking-of-science/wp/2018/01/25/after-a-missile-scare-and-insult-war-with-north-korea-its-time-to-check-the-doomsday-clock/>

Alexa, what time is the apocalypse?

Ulp.

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists advanced the symbolic Doomsday Clock a notch closer to the end of humanity 
Thursday, moving it ahead by 30 seconds after what the organization called a “grim assessment” of the state of 
geopolitical affairs.

“As of today,” Bulletin president Rachel Bronson told reporters, “it is two minutes to midnight” — as close as the 
world has ever been to the hour of apocalypse.

In moving the clock forward, the group cited “the failure of President Trump and other world leaders to deal with 
looming threats of nuclear war and climate change.”

The organization — which has 15 Nobel laureates on its board — now believes “the world is not only more dangerous now 
than it was a year ago; it is as threatening as it has been since World War II,” Bulletin officials Lawrence M. 
Krauss and Robert Rosner wrote in an op-ed published Thursday by The Washington Post. “In fact, the Doomsday Clock is 
as close to midnight today as it was in 1953, when Cold War fears perhaps reached their highest levels.”

The last time the clock advanced so far, the United States had just tested its first thermonuclear device, and the 
Soviet Union had tested a hydrogen bomb.

Today, said the Bulletin president Bronson, “to call the world’s nuclear situation dire is to understate the danger 
and its immediacy.”

At a news conference Thursday, Bronson and a group of colleagues that included Krauss and Rosner listed a litany of 
grim developments over the past year: North Korea made rapid progress in developing a thermonuclear weapon capable of 
reaching the United States. Relations between the United States and Russia deteriorated, with no high-level arms 
control negotiations happening between the two countries. Nations around the world have moved to modernize and 
enhance their nuclear arsenals.

Meanwhile, Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un have engaged in a my-nuclear-button-is-bigger-than-yours war of 
words.

“There is little doubt that the risk that nuclear weapons may be used — intentionally or because of miscalculation — 
grew last year around the globe,” Rosner said.

The decision to move the clock forward was motivated largely by the Bulletin's sense of looming nuclear peril. But 
the danger is compounded by humanity's continued inaction on climate change, they said, as well as vaguer concerns 
about unchecked artificial intelligence, the spread of disinformation, and the public's eroding trust in institutions 
that could keep these threats at bay.

The clock, a metaphorical measure of humankind's proximity to global catastrophe, also advanced 30 seconds last year, 
to 2½ minutes to “midnight.”

Even before Thursday's announcement, experts said there was only one direction the clock could possibly move, given 
recent events.

“I think it would be very hard for the clock not​ to move forward,” said Alex Wellerstein, who specializes in the 
history of nuclear weapons at the Stevens Institute of Technology. “We have members of Congress, White House 
advisers, and even the president implying that they think war with a nuclear state is not only likely, but 
potentially desirable. That's unusual and disturbing.

“The question I have is: How much forward can they go?”

Another 30 seconds, to be exact.

[snip]

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