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re AT&t re: ATT suggests heavy data users overloading cell sites, must stop or pay?


From: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sat, 12 Dec 2009 18:39:10 -0500





Begin forwarded message:

From: Brett Glass <brett () lariat net>
Date: December 12, 2009 6:18:22 PM EST
To: dave () farber net, ip <ip () v2 listbox com>
Subject: Re: [IP] approveAT&t re: ATT suggests heavy data users overloading cell sites, must stop or pay?


Dave:

As a wireless provider myself -- though a fixed rather than a mobile one -- I can thoroughly appreciate the bind that the cell phone companies are in. Given the limited power and penetration of the best available cell phones -- not to mention reflections and intermodulation interference -- they're likely to get, at best, a spectral efficiency of 2 Shannons. (The Shannon, named after Claude Shannon, is a measure of spectral efficiency equal to 1 bit per second per Hz. Because the time units cancel, it is a unit of information -- appropriate for a unit that's named after the father of information theory.) And that's if you're close to the cell site. In many cases, you're down to half a Shannon or less.

This means that, over a cell site's 5 MHz channel, the best a cellular provider could ever do is pump out 10 Mbps -- and that if the channel is being used for only one customer and the transmission is continuous, which is never the case. In real life, the site will be able to do occasional bursts of 3 Mbps. 3G, 4G, LTE, HSPA -- the technology doesn't matter. Nothing can violate the laws of physics and information theory.

Now, a high quality audio stream takes up 128 Kbps -- an eight of a megabit -- while a good video stream runs to 384 Kbps or more. And a download will grab as much as it can -- up to the entire channel. (P2P, of course, does its best to monopolize any network.) Is it any wonder that cell sites are being exhausted?

Fixed wireless providers like myself have similar issues. Because the auction rules -- dictated by the largest and richest companies -- preclude any small business from obtaining exclusively licensed spectrum, we are stuck in a few narrow, congested "junk bands" in which signal to noise ratios are much lower than they are for cell phones. We typically use 20 or 10 MHz channels -- bigger than the cell phone channels -- , but often only get a quarter to a tenth of a Shannon out of them, even with fixed high gain antennas, due to constant noise from consumer devices. So, streaming is an issue for us as well.

Note that all of these constraints are the result of government policy in combination with the laws of physics. If I had even a small clear channel, I could provide much, much higher data rates than the cell phone companies could. But in my area, a narrow 5 MHz slice of the 700 MHz band went for more than 3 million dollars -- bid up by the cellular providers far beyond any price where one could make a reasonable return on the investment.

Unfortunately, this will happen so long as the foreclosure value of spectrum exceeds its utility value. And the auction rules are so slanted against small providers and new entrants (the requirement to pay the full amount immediately, instead of paying month to month or paying a percentage of revenues as one builds out, is an insurmountable barrier to small operators and to innovators) that we despair of ever obtaining the smallest sliver. So, don't blame the providers. Especially WISPs. We're doing the best we can with what we have, and it's not our fault that we cannot do more.

--Brett Glass




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