Interesting People mailing list archives
more on Pentagon: "Climate Change Will Destroy Us"
From: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sun, 22 Feb 2004 12:24:42 -0500
The emphasis is on plausible not sci fi so such futures usually are considered possible. That suggests that current actions be sensitive to such possibilities as they were paid attention to in the Cold War (much of the time) djf
From: Esther Dyson <edyson () edventure com>this is interesting, but from what I know of scenario planning, the report outlined a variety of *plausible* scenarios without predicting that any of them *will* happen.
"The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet to the edge of anarchy ...." i.e. IF there is climate change, then....THere's a big difference between saying the government (and all of us) should take the possibility of climate change seriously, and saying that the UK is likely to turn into a Siberian climate (why would the seas rise when the temperature is freezing??). This seems like an alarmist report about a measured scenario analysis that is indeed worth paying attention to.
It would be interesting to hear directly from the authors.Esther
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