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Key Findings of Pentagon Study from Guardian


From: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sun, 22 Feb 2004 09:59:46 -0500


Delivered-To: dfarber+ () ux13 sp cs cmu edu
Date: Sun, 22 Feb 2004 00:10:26 -0500
From: Randall <rvh40 () insightbb com>
Subject: [Fwd: [SL] Key Findings of Pentagon Study]
To: Dave Farber <dave () farber net>

-----Forwarded Message-----

From: Randall <rvh40 () insightbb com>
To: Strangelove <talk () strangelove cc>
Subject: [SL] Key Findings of Pentagon Study
Date: 22 Feb 2004 00:05:53 -0500

http://observer.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,6903,1153514,00.html

Key findings of the Pentagon

Sunday February 22, 2004
The Observer

· Future wars will be fought over the issue of survival rather than
religion, ideology or national honour.

· By 2007 violent storms smash coastal barriers rendering large parts of
the Netherlands inhabitable. Cities like The Hague are abandoned. In
California the delta island levees in the Sacramento river area are
breached, disrupting the aqueduct system transporting water from north
to south.

· Between 2010 and 2020 Europe is hardest hit by climatic change with an
average annual temperature drop of 6F. Climate in Britain becomes colder
and drier as weather patterns begin to resemble Siberia.

· Deaths from war and famine run into the millions until the planet's
population is reduced by such an extent the Earth can cope.

· Riots and internal conflict tear apart India, South Africa and
Indonesia.

· Access to water becomes a major battleground. The Nile, Danube and
Amazon are all mentioned as being high risk.

· A 'significant drop' in the planet's ability to sustain its present
population will become apparent over the next 20 years.

· Rich areas like the US and Europe would become 'virtual fortresses' to
prevent millions of migrants from entering after being forced from land
drowned by sea-level rise or no longer able to grow crops. Waves of
boatpeople pose significant problems.

· Nuclear arms proliferation is inevitable. Japan, South Korea, and
Germany develop nuclear-weapons capabilities, as do Iran, Egypt and
North Korea. Israel, China, India and Pakistan also are poised to use
the bomb.

· By 2010 the US and Europe will experience a third more days with peak
temperatures above 90F. Climate becomes an 'economic nuisance' as
storms, droughts and hot spells create havoc for farmers.

· More than 400m people in subtropical regions at grave risk.

· Europe will face huge internal struggles as it copes with massive
numbers of migrants washing up on its shores. Immigrants from
Scandinavia seek warmer climes to the south. Southern Europe is
beleaguered by refugees from hard-hit countries in Africa.

· Mega-droughts affect the world's major breadbaskets, including
America's Midwest, where strong winds bring soil loss.

· China's huge population and food demand make it particularly
vulnerable. Bangladesh becomes nearly uninhabitable because of a rising
sea level, which contaminates the inland water supplies.




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