Interesting People mailing list archives

IP: Fwd: misunderstanding the threat


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Fri, 21 Sep 2001 20:09:02 -0400


Date: Fri, 21 Sep 2001 15:06:19 -0700 (PDT)
From: frank millheim jr <millheif () yahoo com>
Subject: misunderstanding the threat
To: farber () cis upenn edu

Dave,
Interesting reading pointed out by a rant at The Spike Report at <http://ojr.usc.edu/content/spike.cfm>http://ojr.usc.edu/content/spike.cfm

Sure, it's more 20/20 hindsight to point out that Johnson was dead wrong, but to see *how* dead wrong is a bit disturbing. Both of the frontline interviews (linked to in the rant)are interesting as well.


==============
<http://ojr.usc.edu/content/spike.cfm>http://ojr.usc.edu/content/spike.cfm

OPEN MOUTH. INSERT FOOT. KEEP TALKING.

Anyone wondering how America's intelligence community could have been so spectacularly blindsided by last week's terrorist attacks should look at an essay written two months ago by former CIA officer and State Department counterterrorism specialist Larry C. Johnson.

In a July 10 New York Times Op-Ed entitled (ouch!) <http://www.nytimes.com/2001/07/10/opinion/10JOHN.html>"The Declining Terrorist Threat," Johnson snickers at the idea of terrorist attacks on U.S. soil. "Americans...seem to believe that terrorism is the greatest threat to the United States and that it is becoming more widespread and lethal," Johnson writes. "They are likely to think that the United States is the most popular target of terrorists. And they almost certainly have the impression that extremist Islamic groups cause the most terrorism. None of these beliefs are based in fact."

"[E]arly signs suggest that the decade beginning in 2000 will continue the downward trend" in deaths from terrorism, the confident expert continues. America's irrational fears can be blamed on irresponsible politicians and military and intelligence experts desperate to justify their agency budgets. Also to blame (of course): sensation-seeking journalists.

Interviewed for PBS program "Frontline" last Wednesday, Johnson admits no error and continues his <http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/binladen/interviews/newjohnson.html>incisive analysis: "What's clear is...[bin Laden] is willing to use violence to destroy what he believes, what he genuinely believes, is evil." Now, that's what I call expertise.

Johnson downplayed the bin Laden threat in an <http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/binladen/interviews/johnson.html>earlier "Frontline" interview.




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