Interesting People mailing list archives

re: IP: Australia Diary -- some very good comments on what the problems are for Australia and what the future holds [...]


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Tue, 18 Sep 2001 11:02:51 -0400


Date: Wed, 19 Sep 2001 00:31:17 +1000
From: cfb <cfb () nirai ne jp>
To: dave () farber net
Subject: IP: Australia Diary [...]

Hi,

I have a couple of belated comments to make about your Australian
trip (I just missed your talk when you were in NZ a year or so ago
and just happened to not be in Australia on your most recent travel.
we're going to have to stop not meeting like this...)

I've noticed one important fact about Australians during my stay
there.  Australians are innovators and entrepreneurs in *exactly*
the same way that Americans are (as are all opposably thumbed
humans)... with the exception that their efforts seemed to be
much more muted, by government and to a lesser extent by cultural
factors.  Two major changes need to happen to accelerate the
natural march of progress:

   taxation (now over 50% for earners over US$35k/year)
   bandwidth tariffs

The taxation issue is obvious.  All you have to do to realize it's
impact is look at tech job adverts.  Key people are obtained by
advertising an overseas assignments (of which up to US$40k is tax
free (a very good deal for other markets like the UK/CA/US and a
really good deal for the employee).  Innovators go elsewhere to
preserve the return on their intellectual sweat equity; if you
consider that the asian population is the fastest growing
statistic, the taxation issue *must* be addressed eventually,
otherwise, Australia runs the risk of becoming a "vacation
economy" (dual passport holders take their innovations back to
China, Korea, Taiwan, etc. and live in Australia).

Bandwidth tariffs... well, all really have to do to understand
this issue is poke around the Australian ISP lists, look at how
Telstra is trying to force tariffed internet connections on both
the customer and Internet Service Provider and look at the past
protests for remuneration that Australia has put to international
telecommunication committees.  If you look at ISM band wireless
regulation and community/township councils attempts to tariffs
cable and ADSL lines that run through their communities, it's easy
to understand what a bad trend bandwidth tariffing represents.
It's hard to find a good Rackspace like colocation facility and
the bandwidth prices in near-by countries is finally dropping
to sane levels.  The risk that major hosting opportunities will
move off shore is still *very* real.  In my opinion, Telstra
and other telecoms would be far better off tarrifing moble data
rather than attempting to push the international tariffing
issues (which appears to be very similar to the CLEC-like pursual
of call termination fees... and we both know how that ended).

Another trend that I've noticed coming to fruition (wired has
had articles on this for yonks) is the blossoming of India's
tech savvy.  What's interesting is that India isn't making it
by cranking out code using 5% of their 1 billion people for
$1 an hour (the bill gates gambit).  Instead, India's british
language skills are coming front and center.  There was a news
story on Australian TV about 6 months ago that detailed how
call centers had begun mass migration out of the UK and Australia.
Turns out, thanks to satellite TV and undersea cable, the people
of India are more that able to provide call center service for
these markets.  Call center customer service reps. keep spun up
on local sports, soaps and other pop culture tit-bits through
the collective reality of TV (so they can have an idle
conversation with the customer that makes them believe that the
rep. is local).  In addition, the call centers provide brush-up
language training to make sure the accent presented to the
customer is regionalized and culturally correct).  The big news?
Software/Hardware customer support help desks for the tech
industry are next.  Of course techs. are less likely to be
worried about the sports, soaps or weather, so... product
spin-up will replace the language lessons for folks answering
the phones.   The impact this will have on the job market and
industry in general will be tremendous.

The point is that the computer industry is going to be hit on
two fronts.  China is destiny is manufacturing... India's
future headed very definitely in a service direction.  Using a
skeleton crew who have visas in the US/UK/Australia, telecom/
network connections can be configured, equipment can be drop
shipped and using IPv6 auth-configuration figures, the help desk
in India can talk the secretary through the hardware
configuration (plug it in) and use of their company's .net
application hosted by a token company that has rack space in
texas.

Easy-to-do tech jobs are going to be moving off shore.  Tech
needs to return to it's research and development roots.
Obviously that can be no research and development without sales
and profits, so this off-shore trend will need to be embraced
and the process by which products go from R&D to production
will need to be *well* oiled.  Right now, I believe there are
more than a few of tech companies that can not meet these
future requirements.

Overall, I'm very bullish on Australia.  It has a similar
land-of-immigrants melting pot history, vast natural resources,
stratgic placment and as close an approximation to democracy as
any democracy can claim these days.  The government and certain
aspects of their culture/society need some minor tweaking...
but which country can claim to be free of those needs?



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