Interesting People mailing list archives

IP: Re: Cisco closes out on their WT-2700 Fixed Wireless Product Line


From: David Farber <dave () farber net>
Date: Sat, 24 Nov 2001 09:20:12 -0500


From: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () warpspeed com>

[Note: This item comes from a reader who doesn't wish attribution. My thanks to the reader for their candid comments. What is said here makes good sense to me. DLH] {and to me djf}

To: Dewayne Hendricks <dewayne () dandin com>
Subject: Re: Cisco closes out on their WT-2700 Fixed Wireless Product Line
Date: Fri, 23 Nov 2001 22:45:18 -0800
MIME-Version: 1.0

Dewayne:  No attributes, please!!!

There's really no scoop.  The commercial market for
fixed wireless isn't really there, unless you're a
small player and still working off of VC money, where
you have to justify your existence by a number of
trials.  Sprint, AT&T are out of the business;
WorldCom had a major layoff of their fixed wireless
folks (Tony Klinkert is still there).  They've delayed
(or cancelled, depending on with whom you're speaking)
deployments this year, and all along, they were the
most likely candidate to succeed (they were
emphasizing the business model, rather than
residential). Nucentrix is not really buying either.
While the FCC "opened" up the frequency band to the
mobile application, there's no deployment until all of
the licensees arrive at sharing agreements, similar to
PCS.  And, there has been no let-up with the band
requirements.  So, if you were a licensee with no
current plans of deployment, there may be no harm in
holding onto the frequency because you might gain by
signing with the big boys for the mobile application.
Any FCC build-out requirements for the band, might be
easily be postponed, given the softness of the
economy. Whatever gets built in the band has to have a good,
solid, business case.  Granted the 3G pico cell
technology (self-install/no truck roll) has the very
wonderful advantage of a high take rate (pick one up
at Fry's/Best Buy), however the cost of the numerous
cells for their shorter range does not solidify the
business case.  With 3G, the carriers have accepted
lower data rates as well.   Lower power is required
due to the SAR limits in a Class B (residential)
environment.   The 3G design looks more like a
Ricochet II experience, which is why there has been
few trials and little excitement for the industry.



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