IP: **** Alternate Futures for 2025:Security Planning to Avoid Surprise

[David Farber <farber () cis upenn edu>]

I found this paper by the USAF to be very very interesting. It 
presents a set of scenarios some rather unpleasant and some sounding 
harsh. It is the job of the military to develop such studies so we 
don't get surprised and so intelligent decisions (hopefully) can be 
made about the future.

Scenario writers are changed with thinking of unpleasant 
possibilities .  Some folks object as they did with Herman Kahn's 
Thinking the Unthinkable. Herman used to say that it was not morally 
correct to not discuss thermonuclear war in the hope it would not 
happen. I think Herman's scenarios helped to prevent the war to end 
wars.

Read these with an open mind and you might just help in the future of 
the country and world.

Dave

http://www.fas.org/spp/military/docops/usaf/2025/af/a-f.htm